class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide # 4.3 — The Standard of Care ## ECON 315 • Economics of the Law • Spring 2021 ### Ryan Safner
Assistant Professor of Economics
safner@hood.edu
ryansafner/lawS21
lawS21.classes.ryansafner.com
--- class: inverse # Outline ### [Standard of Care](#3) ### [The Effect of Court Errors](#) --- class: inverse, center, middle # Standard of Care --- # Standard of Care .pull-left[ - So far, we have been assuming that the legal standard of care is set to the efficient level `$$x^l=x^\star$$` - In some cases, this is what courts actually try to do ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/caution.jpg) ] ] --- # U.S. v. Caroll Towing Co. .pull-left[ .quitesmall[ - *U.S. v. Caroll Towing Co.* 159 F.2d 169 (2d. Cir. 1947) - Several barges tied together to piers in NY Harbor - Defendant’s tugboat was hired to tow one out to harbor - Crew readjusted the lines to free the barge - Done incorrectly, one broke loose, collided with another ship, sank - Barge owner sued tugboat owner, claiming employees were negligent - Tug owner claimed barge owner was also negligent (did not have an agent on board the barge) - Question for court: .hi-turquoise[was it negligent to not have a “bargee” on board?] ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/barges.png) ] ] --- # U.S. v. Caroll Towing Co. .left-column[ .center[ ![:scale 80%](../images/learnedhand.jpg) .smallest[ Learned Hand 1872—1961 U.S. 2<sup>nd</sup> Circuit Court of Appeals ] ] ] .right-column[ .smallest[ > “It appears...that there is no general rule...Since there are occasions when every vessel will break away from her moorings, and since, if she does, she becomes a menace to those around her; the owner’s duty...to provide against resulting injuries is a function of three variables: > “(1) the probability that she will break away; (2) the gravity of the resulting injury, if she does; (3) the burden of adequate precautions. > “Perhaps it serves to bring this notion into relief to state it in algebraic terms: > “if the probability be called P; the injury, L; and the burden, B; > “.hi[liability depends upon whether B is less than L multiplied by P.]” ] ] --- # The Hand Rule .left-column[ .center[ ![:scale 80%](../images/learnedhand.jpg) .smallest[ Learned Hand 1872—1961 U.S. 2<sup>nd</sup> Circuit Court of Appeals ] ] ] .right-column[ - .hi[The “Hand Rule”]: failure to take a precaution constitutes **negligence** if: `$$\color{green}{B} < \color{red}{L \times P}$$` - `\(\color{green}{B}\)`: cost of precaution (“burden”) - `\(\color{red}{L}\)`: cost of accident (“liability”) - `\(\color{red}{p}\)`: probability of accident - A particular precaution activity is required to avoid liability if it is .hi-purple[cost-justified]: costs less than the benefit it provides - “If a precaution is efficient, you are negligent if you failed to take it” ] --- # The Hand Rule .left-column[ .center[ ![:scale 80%](../images/learnedhand.jpg) .smallest[ Learned Hand 1872—1961 U.S. 2<sup>nd</sup> Circuit Court of Appeals ] ] ] .right-column[ - .hi[The “Hand Rule”]: failure to take a precaution constitutes **negligence** if: `$$\color{green}{B} < \color{red}{L \times P}$$` - `\(\color{green}{B}\)`: cost of precaution (“burden”) - `\(\color{red}{L}\)`: cost of accident (“liability”) - `\(\color{red}{p}\)`: probability of accident - Ruled in this particular case (*Caroll Towing*) that barge owner was negligent for not having a bargee aboard the barge during the day ] --- # The Hand Rule .pull-left[ - Having a bargee or not is a discrete choice - If precaution is continuous variable `\((x)\)`, we can think of these as `\(\color{green}{MC}\)` and `\(\color{red}{MB}\)` of precaution in our model - Burden (B): `\(w\)` - Probability (P) of accidents: `\(-p'(x)\)` - Liability (L) or size of accident: `\(A\)` ] -- .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-1-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # The Hand Rule .pull-left[ .smallest[ - .hi[The “Hand Rule”]: failure to take a precaution constitutes **negligence** if: `$$\color{green}{B} < \color{red}{L \times P}$$` - In our model: negligence if `\(\color{green}{w}<\color{red}{-p'(x)A}\)`, i.e. if `\(x<x^\star\)` ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-2-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # The Hand Rule .pull-left[ .smallest[ - .hi[The “Hand Rule”]: failure to take a precaution constitutes **negligence** if: `$$\color{green}{B} < \color{red}{L \times P}$$` - In our model: negligence if `\(\underbrace{\color{green}{w}}_{\color{green}{MC}}<\underbrace{\color{red}{-p'(x)A}}_{\color{red}{MB}}\)`, i.e. if `\(x<x^\star\)` - In marginal magnitudes: - `\(\color{green}{MC}\)` of precaution: cost of precaution `\(w\)` - `\(\color{red}{MB}\)` of precaution: reduced probability of accident `\(-p'(x)A\)` ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-3-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # The Standard of Care .pull-left[ - The hand test is one (efficient!) way courts have tried to set standards of care - Laws & regulations are another - Finally: enforce social norms or industry best-practices ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/caution.jpg) ] ] --- # The Standard of Care .pull-left[ .smallest[ - U.S. courts have consistently *misapplied* the Hand Rule (if their goal is efficiency) - Efficient level of precaution `\(x^\star\)` should be based on minimizing **total social cost** of accident - This includes **both** harm to victim (.hi-purple[“risk to others”]) and to injurer (.hi-purple[“risk to self”]) - Social benefit of me driving carefully is reduced risk of harm to pedestrians/bikers *and* to me! - Courts have tended to only count risk to *others* when calculating benefit of precaution `\((PL)\)` ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/caution.jpg) ] ] --- # The Standard of Care .pull-left[ - Hindsight bias - After an accident, we assume it was likely to occur - Hard to get unbiased probability estimate `\((p)\)` of something after it happens (likely to *over*estimate the likelihood) ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/caution.jpg) ] ] --- class: inverse, center, middle # The Effect of Court Errors --- # The Effect of Court Errors .pull-left[ .smallest[ - We’ve seen .hi[negligence rules] lead to efficient precaution `\((x^\star, y^\star)\)` by both parties - But .hi[strict liability] leads to efficient activity levels by injurers - Over the 20<sup>th</sup> century, strict liability rules became more common (especially for manufacturers)...why? - We will examine products liability next class - The role of information ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/information.png) ] ] --- # The Effect of Court Errors .pull-left[ - It’s relatively easy (for .blue[Plaintiff]) to demonstrate (1) harm and (2) causation - .hi-green[Example]: A Coca-cola bottle explodes and takes out my eye - Much harder to prove (.red[Defendent’s]) negligence - .hi-green[Example]: How can I show Coca-cola was negligent in their bottling process? .source[*Escola v. Coca-Cola Bottling Co.*, 24 Cal.2d 453 (1944)] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/coke-explode.png) ] ] --- # The Effect of Court Errors .pull-left[ .smallest[ - If this is the case, .red[Injurers] might avoid liability altogether...in which case they would have no incentive to take precaution! - .hi-green[Example]: Negligence requires **me** to figure out the efficient level of care for Coca-Cola; strict liability only requires **Coca-Cola** to figure out its efficient level of care - Coca-cola likely has better information about their bottling process than I do - May explain why .hi-turquoise[strict liability rules have become more common] ] .source[*Escola v. Coca-Cola Bottling Co.*, 24 Cal.2d 453 (1944)] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![](../images/coke-explode.png) ] ] --- # Errors & Uncertainty in Assessing Damages .pull-left[ - .hi[Random mistakes]: damages could be set too high or too low, but on average (cancel out and) are correct - Your textbook calls this “uncertainty” - .hi[Systematic mistakes]: damages are consistently set *incorrectly* on average, consistently too high or too low - Your textbook calls this “errors” ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Strict Liability .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under .hi[strict liability] - .red[Injurer] minimizes `\(wx+p(x)D\)` - With perfect compensation, `\(D=A\)` - Leads .red[Injurer] to efficiently minimize total social cost `\(wx+p(x)A\)` at `\(x^\star\)` - .hi-purple[Random errors in damages have no affect on incentives] - .red[Injurer] only cares about **expected** level of damages - As long as damages correct on average, .red[Injurers] still internalize cost of accidents, and .hi-purple[take efficient precaution and activity level] ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Strict Liability .pull-left[ .smallest[ - On the other hand, **systematic errors** will skew .red[Injurer]’s incentives - .hi-green[Example]: suppose damages are set too low, `\(D<A\)` - New expected level of damages, `\(\color{red}{p(x)D}\)`, below true `\(\color{red}{p(x)A}\)` - New private cost for .red[Injurer] to minimize: `\(\color{blue}{wx+p(x)D}\)` at `\(x_2\)` - .red[Injurer] would internalize less than full social cost of accidents, **underinvest** in precaution `\(x_2<x^\star\)` - Note if damages were set too high `\(D>A\)`, opposite would happen (too much precaution)! ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-4-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Strict Liability .pull-left[ .smallest[ - So under .hi[strict liability] - Random errors in setting damages have no effect - Systematic errors in setting damages skew .red[Injurer’s] incentives in direction of the error - If damages set too low, `\(D<A\)`, precaution will be inefficiently low `\(x<x^\star\)` - If damages set too high, `\(D>A\)`, precaution will be inefficiently high `\(x>x^\star\)` ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - Random errors in setting damages have no effect - .hi-green[Example]: assume court had again accidentally set too high damages, `\(D>A\)` ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-5-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - Random errors in setting damages have no effect - .hi-green[Example]: assume court had again accidentally set too high damages, `\(D>A\)` - Recall negligence is a threshold rule, private cost to .red[injurer] is: `$$\begin{cases} p(x)A+wx && \text{if } x<x^l\\ \end{cases}$$` ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-6-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - Random errors in setting damages have no effect - .hi-green[Example]: assume court had again accidentally set too high damages, `\(D>A\)` - Recall negligence is a threshold rule, private cost to .red[injurer] is: `$$\begin{cases} p(x)A+wx && \text{if } x<x^l\\ wx && \text{if } x \geq x^l\\ \end{cases}$$` - So assuming the standard is set correctly, small errors in actual damages have no affect on .red[Injurer] precaution! ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - If the court makes a mistake in setting the standard of care, `\(x^l\)`... ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-8-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - If the court makes a mistake in setting the standard of care, `\(x^l\)`... - Setting lower standard reduces precaution ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-9-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - If the court makes a mistake in setting the standard of care, `\(x^l\)`... - Setting lower standard reduces precaution - Setting higher standard increases precaution - ....red[Injurer] adjusts precaution **exactly** to whatever the standard is set to ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-10-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Effects Errors & Uncertainty Under Negligence .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under a .hi[negligence rule] - If the court makes **random errors** in choosing a standard `\(x^l\)`, creates .hi[uncertainty] for the .red[Injurer] - or, equivalently, uncertain how court will compare chosen `\(x\)` with `\(x^l\)` - In general, .red[Injurer] being uncertain about whether they might be found liable or not causes them to **undertake excessive precaution** - Increased precaution `\(wx\)` often costs little, whereas increased liability often costs a lot ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="4.3-slides_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-11-1.png" width="504" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # Summing Up Errors Under Different Rules .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under strict liability - failure to consistently hold injurers liable leads to less precaution - **random** errors in setting damages have **no effect** - **systematic** errors in setting damages skew .red[Injurer] incentives in same direction - Under negligence - **small** errors (random or systematic) in setting damages have **no effect** - **systematic** errors in setting the **standard of care** have a 1:1 effect on precaution ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Summing Up Errors Under Different Rules .pull-left[ - So this has the following normative implications: 1. When a court can assess damages more accurately than standard of care, strict liability is better 2. When a court can better assess standards, negligence is better 3. When standard of care is vague, court should err on side of leniency (not encourage excessive precaution) ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Bright-Line Rules vs. Standards .pull-left[ .smallest[ - In our simple model, the economic goal of tort liability is to minimize total social costs (sum of costs of precaution and expected cost of accidents) - In reality, we also have to consider any given rule’s .hi[administrative costs] - Tradeoff between rules (like legal standard of care) tailored to individual situations, vs. broad, simple rules that apply to many situations - Broad, simple rules are cheaper to create and enforce, but will not create perfect incentives in every situation - More specific, detailed, “tailored” rules will be more costly to create and enforce, but will create more efficient incentives ]] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Administrative Costs: Negligence vs. Strict Liability .pull-left[ .smallest[ - Under negligence: - Longer, more expensive trials (.blue[Plaintiff] needs to demonstrate .red[Defendant] was negligent) - But fewer trials! Not every .blue[Victim] has a case, since .red[Injurers] tend to take precautions to avoid liability! - Under strict liability: - Fewer, speedier trials (no need to demonstrate negligence, only harm & causation) - But more trials! .blue[Victims] are much more likely to win, and have a stronger incentive to bring lawsuits ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/court1.jpg) ] ] --- # Another Point About Information and Errors .pull-left[ - .hi[Negligence with a defense of contributory negligence] was dominant liability rule in common law countries - Negligent .red[Injurer] is liable, unless .blue[Victim] was also negligent - .hi-green[Example]: car going 60 MPH hits a car going 40 MPH in 25 MPH zone ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/spidermannegligence.jpg) ] ] --- # Another Point About Information and Errors .pull-left[ .smaller[ - Over the last half century, most U.S. States have adopted .hi[comparative negligence] rules - Often via legislation, sometimes through court decisions - Appealing from a fairness point of view - But we saw *any* negligence rule leads to efficient precaution - So why this consistent change? ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 100%](../images/spidermannegligence.jpg) ] ] --- # Comparative Negligence and Evidentiary Uncertainty .pull-left[ .smallest[ - .hi[Evidentiary uncertainty]: uncertainty in how court/jury will interpret evidence - Given a legal standard for negligence, `\(x^l\)`... - ...and an actual level of precaution chosen, `\(x\)`... - still uncertain whether court will find .red[Injurer] was negligent - Evidentiary uncertainty leads to over-precaution - But comparative negligence mitigates this effect! - Injurer might only be found *partly* liable (liability shared with victim), so less over-cautious ] ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:scale 70%](../images/evidence.png) ] ]